OK! End of the month and lets see how portfolio has fared.
Please remember this is an absolute return portfolio but still benchmarking it
to give a sense of performance.
June was the worst performance in the last 9 months
relatively, and fifth best in absolute terms. To put things in perspective,
absolute return wise here is how they stack up –
October-11
|
7.5
|
November-11
|
(0.1)
|
December-11
|
(4.9)
|
January-12
|
0.1
|
February-12
|
6.6
|
March-12
|
1.9
|
April-12
|
0.9
|
May-12
|
(6.4)
|
June-12
|
0.4
|
So that’s 6 out of 9ms of positive outperformance and
positive portfolio value since inception. So from an absolute return point –
67% hit ratio. Not bad. Relatively? Lets see
October-11
|
(2.4)
|
November-11
|
9.1
|
December-11
|
(0.6)
|
January-12
|
(12.3)
|
February-12
|
3.0
|
March-12
|
3.6
|
April-12
|
1.8
|
May-12
|
(0.2)
|
June-12
|
(6.8)
|
So uhm strike rate here a more humble 4 out of 9 – 40%.
Various reasons for this –
1.
This is not an index linked portfolio
2.
Since its not index linked and its absolute
INVESTMENT return portfolio, might not make sense to compare returns in such a
short while
However I have given these numbers to get things in
perspective about markets. Performance in June was twisted because your high
beta generic names ran in the last 1 week because of various flimsy reasons –
like Manmohanji raising Animal Spirits and what not!
Absolute deep value stocks like TTK Prestige, Gateway
Distriparks, Jain Irrigation (waiting
for brickbats!), Treehouse Edu, Eros International have underperformed. Star of
the show till date has been Power grid, consistent is not the word! Honourable
mention for suitable absolute returns from TCS, LT, Dabur, HUL, ICICI and
earlier BoB, ONGC, NTPC, Cipla.
So
when does this turn? Well many mid caps have been taken with a 3-5 year
perspective so would not comment now. For larger caps, I am very comfortable
holding all of them at this juncture, a tad worried with BHEL and I know it
will go nowhere for a while, but weightage wise that is minimalComments welcome!